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Jun 25 2021

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC/USD Climbs Above $35,000 Again

Bitcoin Price Prediction – June 24

Looking at the daily chart, the Bitcoin price is showing positive signs and it is likely to accelerate further higher in the near term.

BTC/USD Long-term Trend: Ranging (Daily Chart)

Key levels:

Resistance Levels: $40,000, $42,000, $44,000

Support Levels: $28,000, $26,000, $24,000

According to the daily chart, after touching the daily low of $32,300, BTC/USD breaches $35,000 as all-time high beckons. The king coin is seen touching the 9-day and 21-day moving averages at $35,295. More so, the Bitcoin price is within touching distance of forming a new all-time high above the $35,000, which is quite remarkable.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Price sees a Further Upside?

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is seen trading comfortably towards the upper boundary of the channel as the price establishes a new bullish signal. Like the look of things, one could say that the long-term outlook is favoring the bulls, giving the daily close produced a large bullish engulfing candle with eyes now set on the daily resistances at $40,000, $42,000, and $44,000 respectively.

However, any drop from the current level could lead to declines to the critical support and caused the coin to remain below the 9-day and 21-day moving averages. In case BTC/USD drops and touches the low of $30,000 support, then the coin can rely on the long-term support levels at $28,000, $26,000, and $24,000. Moreover, the technical indicator Relative Strength Index (14) is now moving above 40-level, suggesting more bullish signals.

BTC/USD Medium-term Trend: Bearish (4H Chart)

According to the 4-hour chart, the Bitcoin price is seen trading above the 9-day and 21-day moving averages at $34,795. However, today’s price move happens to be an impressive one as it climbs above the long-awaited resistance level of $35,000 with a sharp upsurge. However, the Bitcoin price is now maintaining its bull-run around the upper boundary of the channel as the technical indicator Relative Strength Index (14) moves above 50-level.

On the contrary, BTC/USD may take a downward move if the bulls failed to push the price above the channel and the first digital asset may drop below the 9-day and 21-day moving averages which could reach a critical support level of $32,000 and below. Nevertheless, if the bulls find a decent resistance level above $35,000, the coin may continue the bullish movement by crossing above the channel to reach the resistance level of $37,000 and above.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC/USD Climbs Above $35,000 Again

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Jun 15 2021

Ethereum price bounce to $2.6K fails to excite neutral-to-bearish pro traders

While speaking at the Virtual Fintech Forum in Hong Kong on May 27, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin commented on obstacles related to the Ethereum 2.0 rollout. Buterin said that there had been several internal team conflicts in the past five years and as a result, he confirmed that Ethereum 2.0 launch is unlikely to occur before late 2022.

In a May 22 report from Goldman Sachs, analysts said that Ether has a “high chance of overtaking Bitcoin as a dominant store of value.” Furthermore, the report noted the growth of the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and the nonfungible token (NFT) ecosystems being built on Ethereum. Coincidentally, on the very next day, Ether’s price bottomed at $1,750.

On June 14, CoinShares released its weekly fund flows report and Ether investment products had the largest outflows, totaling $12.7 million.

However, the upcoming $1.5 billion options expiry on June 25 could be a turning point for Ether, according to Cointelegraph. This figure is 30% larger than the March 26 expiry, which took place as Ether’s price plunged 17% in five days and bottomed near $1,550.

Despite flirting with $2,600 after a 12% rally over the past week, top Ether traders seem unable to change their neutral-to-bearish positioning according to derivatives data.

The 3-month futures premium is neutral-to-bearish

Normally, Tte 3-month futures will usually trade at a premium to regular spot exchanges. In addition to the exchange liquidity risk, the seller is postponing settlement and usually charges more.

The 6% to 17% annualized return on stablecoin lending indicates bullishness whenever the 3-month premium trades above that range. On the other hand, when futures are trading below the stablecoin lending rate, it is a signal of short-term bearish sentiment.

Huobi ETH Sept. futures premium vs. spot market. Source: TradingView

As shown above, the 8% premium — 26% annualized — vanished on May 13, indicating extreme optimism. Since then, it has been ranging near 2.8%, which is equivalent to 10% annualized. Thus, top traders are neutral-to-bearish according to this indicator as it nears the lower level of the expected range.

The options skew shows moderate signs of fear

The 25% delta skew compares similar call (buy) and put (sell) options and will turn positive when the protective put options premium is trading higher. Whenever this metric surpasses 10%, it is considered a “fear” indicator.

The opposite holds when market makers are bullish and this causes the 25% delta skew indicator to enter the negative range

Deribit Ethereum options 25% delta skew. Source: laevitas.ch

From May 20 to June 8, the indicator stood near 10%, indicating a higher protective put premium, which is usually a ‘fear’ indicator. However, over the last week, it has slightly improved to 7%, within the “neutral” range, but still close to bearish sentiment.

There is no evidence of bullish growth in top traders’ confidence as Ether tests the $2,600 resistance. So until those indicators flip to neutral-to-bullish, traders should act with extreme care before concluding that a bull run is in place.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Ethereum price bounce to $2.6K fails to excite neutral-to-bearish pro traders

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Jun 13 2021

Top 5 cryptocurrencies to watch this week: BTC, AAVE, KSM, ALGO, TFUEL

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price continues to be range-bound between $30,000 and $40,000 level for the past few days, which is not necessarily a bearish sign.

Generally, after a sharp fall, the price tends to consolidate as the asset transfers from weaker hands to stronger hands. After the transition is complete, the asset breaks out and starts a new uptrend. Usually, the longer the price consolidates in a range, the stronger the next trending move will be.

Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone said on Saturday that Bitcoin’s declining supply was a positive sign, which could act as a “bullish ace” for its move higher “if past patterns hold.”

*Crypto market data daily view. Source:* *Coin360*

Yoni Assia, CEO of eToro, also told Cointelegraph that Bitcoin could see a sharp rise “over the next three to five years, as there are still 5 billion people in the world that basically don’t have good local currency.”

Therefore, investors should not be discouraged by the muted price action in the short term. Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong and are likely to result in a new uptrend in the future.

As crypto markets consolidate, let’s analyze the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that may outperform in the next few days.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin turned down from the resistance line of the descending triangle on Jan. 12 and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average ($36,586). This suggests that the bears are aggressively defending the resistance line.

The longer the price stays below the 20-day EMA, the greater the chances of a drop to the lower levels. If bears sink the price below $34,600, the BTC/USDT pair could drop to $33,400 and then to $31,000.

A break and close below $31,000 will complete a descending triangle pattern, which has a target objective at $19,549. However, it is unlikely to be a straight drop to the lower levels because the bulls will attempt to stall the decline in the $31,000 to $28,000 support zone.

This negative view will invalidate if the price continues to move up and rises above the resistance line of the triangle. Such a move could open the gates for a rise to the 50-day simple moving average ($44,709), which is again likely to act as a stiff resistance.

A break above the 50-day SMA will suggest that the correction could be over and the bulls will gradually try to start a new up-move.

*BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source:* *TradingView*

The moving averages on the 4-hour chart have been crossi each other and the relative strength index (RSI) is just above the midpoint, indicating that bulls are trying to make a comeback.

A breakout and close above the resistance line of the triangle will signal that demand exceeds supply. If the bulls sustain the price above the triangle, a new up-move could begin.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the resistance line and breaks below $34,000, it could signal a minor advantage to the bears. That could pull the price down to the critical support at $31,000. A bounce off this support will suggest accumulation at lower levels and that could keep the pair inside the triangle for some more time.

AAVE/USDT

Aave is trading inside a large range between $280 and $581.67 for the past few months. The bulls have successfully defended the support of the range on five previous occasions, hence the buyers are likely to buy the dip once again.

If the price rebounds off the current level with strength, it will suggest that the bulls continue to accumulate on dips. The buyers will then try to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($344). If they succeed, the AAVE/USDT pair could rise to the 50-day SMA ($414), which may act as a stiff hurdle.

If the price turns down from the 50-day SMA, the pair could consolidate between $280 and $414 for a few days. On the contrary, a break above the 50-day SMA will clear the path for a northward march toward $581.67.

This positive view will invalidate if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA and breaks below the $280 support. That will embolden the bears who will then try to pull the price down to $208.09 and then to $160.

*AAVE/USDT 4-hour chart. Source:* *TradingView*

The 4-hour chart shows the bears had pulled the price below $280 but they are struggling to sustain the lower levels. However, the moving averages are sloping down and the RSI is in the negative zone, indicating advantage to the bears.

If the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $266.68, the pair could start its downward journey. This negative view will invalidate if the bulls push the price above the downtrend line. Such a move will suggest the correction is over and the pair could then rise to $500.

KSM/USDT

Kusama (KSM) has been witnessing volatile moves in the past few days. Although the bulls pushed the price above the $480 overhead resistance on June 9, they could not sustain the higher levels and the price dipped back below the level on June 10. This shows that bears are selling on rallies.

However, the buyers have not allowed the price to break below the 20-day EMA ($388). This suggests that the sentiment is turning positive as the bulls are buying the dips to the 20-day EMA.

The rising 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint indicate a minor advantage to the bulls. The buyers will now make one more attempt to push the price above $480. If they succeed, the KSM/USD pair could rally to $537 and then retest the all-time high at 625.

This positive view will invalidate if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below $360. That could pull the price down to $280.

*KSM/USDT 4-hour chart. Source:* *TradingView*

The 4-hour chart shows the bulls are trying to defend the trendline support. However, the 20-EMA has turned down and the RSI is in the negative zone, indicating the bears have the upper hand.

If the sellers sink the price below $380, the pair could drop to $342. A break below this support could result in a decline to $280.

This negative view will invalidate if the bulls can push the price above $429. That could attract buying, pushing the pair to $480.

ALGO/USDT

Algorand (ALGO) bounced off the trendline on June 12 and rose above the 20-day EMA ($0.97), which suggests the bulls are buying on dips. The flattish 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint suggest the selling pressure has reduced.

The price action of the past few days has formed an ascending triangle pattern, which will complete on a breakout and close above $1.15. If the bulls manage to sustain the price above $1.15, the ALGO/USDT pair could rally to the target objective at $1.63.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from $1.15, the pair may extend its stay inside the triangle for a few more days. A breakdown and close below the trendline will nullify the bullish view and open the gates for a drop to $0.80 and then $0.67.

*ALGO/USDT 4-hour chart. Source:* *TradingView*

The 4-hour chart shows the bulls are attempting to push the price above the downtrend line. If they can sustain the breakout, the pair could rise to $1.15. A breakout and close above this resistance could start a new uptrend.

Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the moving averages, the bears will make one more attempt to sink the price below the trendline. If they succeed, it will signal the start of a deeper correction.

TFUEL/USDT

Theta Fuel (TFUEL) soared to a new all-time high at $0.679 on June 9 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick. That was followed by a sharp pullback to the 20-day EMA ($0.41) on June 12.

The strong rebound off the 20-day EMA shows the sentiment is positive and traders are aggressively buying on dips. The bulls will now try to push the price to the all-time high where they are likely to encounter stiff resistance from the bears.

If the price turns down from the all-time high, the bears will make one more attempt to pull the price below the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, it will suggest the start of a deeper correction.

Alternatively, if buyers propel the price above the all-time high, the TFUEL/USDT pair could resume the uptrend, with the next target objective at $0.85 and then $1.

*TFUEL/USDT 4-hour chart. Source:* *TradingView*

The 4-hour chart shows the pair rebounded strongly off the $0.40 support, which suggests accumulation at lower levels. However, the relief rally is facing resistance just below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.57.

This suggests that the bears have not given up yet and are selling on rallies. If the price dips below the 20-EMA, the bears will try to pull the price down to $0.40. If that happens, the pair may consolidate between these two levels for a few days.

Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the 20-EMA, it will indicate the sentiment is positive and the bulls are not waiting for a deeper fall to buy. That will increase the possibility of a break above $0.57. The pair could then rise to retest the all-time high.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Top 5 cryptocurrencies to watch this week: BTC, AAVE, KSM, ALGO, TFUEL

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Jun 12 2021

Here’s how Bitcoin’s impending death cross could be a contrarian buy signal

Bitcoin’s (BTC) succession of sharp corrections from its all-time high at $64,900 has turned investor sentiment negative, at least for the short-term. While some analysts believe the bottom may have been hit, others are warning of a further fall due to the “Death Cross” pattern that, at the time of writing, is on the verge of completion.

For new traders, the name death cross itself brings a lot of negativity and a feeling of impending doom. This sentiment can trigger selling panics, especially if the market has already been going through a bear phase prior to the pattern being spotted.

However, is a death cross something to be feared or is it a crystal ball that gives traders insight on when a plunge is imminent?

Let’s find out with the help of a few examples.

What is a death cross and how accurate is it?

The death cross forms when a faster period moving average, usually the 50-day simple moving average, crosses below the longer-term moving average, generally the 200-day SMA.

*LTC/USD daily chart. Source:* *TradingView*

The crossover is bearish as it shows that the uptrend has reversed direction. Large institutional investors generally do not buy in a falling market until a bottom is confirmed. Due to this, buying dries up and investors holding positions rush to the exit due to panic, exacerbating the decline.

Before looking at a few death cross examples in the crypto markets, let’s see how the pattern has affected the S&P 500 index between 1929 to 2019. According to Dorsey, Wright & Associates, LLC, the average fall after the formation of the death cross is 12.57% and the median fall is much lesser at 7.75%.

However, if only the post-1950 period is considered, the average fall is less than 10.37% and the median is at 5.38%.

While those figures are not startling, especially for volatility-accustomed crypto traders, the bearish convergence of these two moving averages should not be taken lightly.

History shows that the death cross has resulted in a few instances of massive declines in the U.S. stock market indices.

After the death cross on June 19, 1930, the S&P 500 plummeted 78.84% before bottoming out on Sep. 15, 1932. The next terrible death cross came with a 53.44% correction that occurred from Dec. 19, 2007, to June 17, 2009.

This shows how in select instances, the death cross has been able to predict a sharp correction. However, two sharp declines of over 50% in a 90-year history suggests the pattern is not reliable enough to instil instant fear in traders.

Recent Bitcoin death crosses

As cryptocurrencies are still a nascent market, the available data is limited. Let’s review a few instances of the death cross and how it has affected Bitcoin.

*BTC/USD daily chart. Source:* *TradingView*

The most recent death cross occurred on March 26, 2020, when the BTC/USD pair closed at $6,758.18. However, this death cross turned out to be an excellent contrarian buy signal as the pair had already formed a bottom2 weeks back at $3,858 on March 13.

Before that, the pair had formed a death cross on Oct. 26, 2019, when the price closed at $9,259.78. By then, the pair had already corrected 33% from the high at $13,868.44 made on June 26, 2019.

After the cross, the pair bottomed out at $6,430 on Dec. 18, 2019, suffering a further 30% fall. From the high of $13,868.44 to the low at $6,430, the total decline was roughly 53%.

In another scenario, Bitcoin’s roaring bull market topped out at $19,891.99 on Dec. 17, 2017, and the death cross formed on March 30, 2018, when the pair closed at $6,848.01. By then, the pair had already corrected over 65% from the then all-time high.

Thereafter, the selling continued and the bear market bottom formed at $3,128.89 on Dec. 15, 2018. This meant a further fall of about 54% from the death cross and a total drawdown of 84% from the all-time high.

The above instances show how the death cross occurs late in the bear market cycle and investors who wait for the pattern to form give a lot of profits back to the market. At the same time, initiating bearish bets may work for short-term traders but could prove detrimental for long-term investors.

Key takeaways

The examples show how the death cross is a lagging pattern, which forms when a large part of the decline has already occurred. Typically, long-term investors don’t need to panic if they spot the death cross on the daily charts but it is a signal to be more attentive to and perhaps prepare one’s portfolio for positioning for a variety of unanticipated outcomes.

Death crosses can also, at times, be used as a contrarian signal so when they are spotted traders should look for other indications of the chart to spot a possible bottom.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Here’s how Bitcoin’s impending death cross could be a contrarian buy signal

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Jun 11 2021

Ripple Price Prediction: XRP/USD Drops Below $0.89

Ripple Price Prediction – June 11

The Ripple price is down by 1.28% in the last few hours as the current market value has gone below $0.86.

XRP/USD Market

Key Levels:

Resistance levels: $1.17, $1.27, $1.37

Support levels: $0.60, $0.50, $0.40

XRP/USD touches the daily high at $0.89 before giving a bearish signal at the time of writing, the coin is trading below the 9-day and 21-day moving averages as the technical indicator Relative Strength Index (14) keep moving sideways below 45-level. Meanwhile, a break below this level could give the market enough strength to dig dip, but crossing above the 9-day and 21-day moving averages might lead the market to a bullish scenario.

Ripple Price Prediction: Price May Consolidate to the Downside

At the moment, the Ripple price is demonstrating a sign of weakness across its markets. Looking at the daily chart, XRP/USD market is down by 1.28%, reflecting a price drop in the market and the fall might become heavy if the bearish action continues. Therefore, since the Ripple price is moving bearishly, traders can expect the trend to keep advancing lower if the price actions still remain below 9-day and 21-day MAs.

Meanwhile, a break above the moving averages could strengthen the bulls and could push the price to the resistance levels of $1.17, $1.27, and $1.37, or a breakdown might lead the market in a bearish scenario if the price continues to fade, the price may likely reach the supports at $0.60, $0.50, and $0.40.

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Against BTC, the Ripple price is sliding below the 9-day and 21-day moving averages. Therefore, if the selling pressure continues, the XRP price variation may create another low. At the moment, the technical indicator Relative Strength Index (14) is crossing into the negative side; we may continue to see a negative move in the market as much as the coin continues to trade around the lower boundary of the channel.

However, the Ripple (XRP) is currently hovering at 2292 SAT and if the coin crosses below the channel, traders may expect close support at 2200 SAT before breaking to 1800 SAT and below. More so, should in case a bullish movement occurs and break above the 9-day and 21-day MAs; we can then confirm a bull-run for the market and the nearest resistance levels lie at 2800 SAT and above.

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Ripple Price Prediction: XRP/USD Drops Below $0.89

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